National Intelligence Council ProjectSummary: CISSM's National Intelligence Council (NIC) Project, was initiated in late 1999 and managed by Bill Lahneman to make the U.S. intelligence community aware of the leading scholarly research on:
A two-volume final report on "The Future of Intelligence Analysis" was published in March 2006. Bill Nolte is now the Director of the Program in Intelligence Research and Education (PIRE) at the Maryland School of Public Policy. The School also continues to provide executive programs in intelligence analysis and counterterrorism for government and private sector clients. Jump to PapersDescription: Given the continuing information revolution, intelligence organizations cannot hope to be the sole source and repository of privileged information upon which policy makers base many crucial decisions. Rather, intelligence analysis can profit greatly by tapping into the vast expertise, research, and other information found in academia, nongovernmental organizations, the business sector, and various intergovernmental organizations. The NIC Project's goal was to enhance policy formulation by improving the breadth and depth of the analyses upon which policies are based. To this end, the project brought groups of scholars and other experts together with members of the U.S. intelligence community to examine central questions about the international challenges facing the United States in the twenty-first century. The project utilized both foreign and domestic open sources of information. All work was conducted on an unclassified basis. Initially, the project assisted the NIC in formulating its views on the evolution of the nation-state in conjunction with the publication of Global Trends 2015: A Dialogue About the Future With Nongovernment Experts. Next, it investigated the sources of intrastate or internal conflict, the factors affecting the intensity and duration of violent internal conflict, the role of third party military intervention in these conflicts, and the rationale and mechanics associated with post-conflict nation-building efforts. This work was summarized in William J. Lahneman, ed., Military Intervention: Cases in Context for the Twenty-First Century (Boulder, CO: Rowman and Littlefield, 2004). Other projects' topics have included:
The project then assisted with the NIC 2020 Project, an ambitious, yearlong study that will engaged a broad range of foreign and domestic experts and challenged them to think in new and provocative ways about the forces that will drive global developments to the year 2020. Typically, each phase of the project began with a survey of the scholarly literature and a poll of leading scholars to identify the different and often competing approaches to the topic in question. Then, relevant experts were invited to participate in the project through one or more of its venues for conveying information directly to the members of the NIC.
Books and Monographs William J. Lahneman, The Future of Intelligence Analysis, Volume I, (Final Report, March 2006) William J. Lahneman, The Future of Intelligence Analysis, Volume II, (Final Report, March 2006) Conference Reports, Presentations and Other Documents Bridget Grimes and Bill Lahneman, "Conference on Climate Change and Its Implications Through 2020", (Summary of Proceedings of the Conference, 06/28/2004) Bill Lahneman and Matt Lewis, "Organized Crime and Corruption of State Institutions", (Summary of Proceedings, the Inn and Conference Center, 11/18/2002) Tim Gulden, "The Internet: Boom, Bust, and Beyond", (Summary of Proceedings, the Inn and Conference Center, 10/28/2002) John Steinbruner, "Dynamics of Islamic Politics", (workshop jointly organized by the Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland and the Center for International Development and Conflict Management, 02/22/2002) Tim Gulden, "Workshop on Indicators of Sustainable Development", (Summary of Proceedings, 01/23/2002) Eric Schwartz, "The Intervention in East Timor", (Case Study Prepared for Intervention in Internal Conflict, 12/07/2001) Chetan Kumar, "Sustaining Peace in War-Torn Societies: Lessons from the Hatian Experience", (Case Study Prepared for Intervention in Internal Conflict, 12/07/2001) David D. Laitin, "Somalia: Intervention in Internal Conflict", (Case Study Prepared for Intervention in Internal Conflict, 12/07/2001) Bill Lahneman, "Intervention in Internal Conflict: Insights for Afghanistan", (Summary of Proceedings, 12/07/2001) Gilbert M. Khadiagala, "The Case of Rwanda", (Case Study Prepared for Intervention in Internal Conflict, 12/07/2001) Kwaku Nuamah and I William Zartman, "Case Study: Intervention in Sierra Leone", (Case Study Prepared for Intervention in Internal Conflict, 12/07/2001) Steven L. Burg, "The Case of Bosnia", (Case Study Prepared for Intervention in Internal Conflict, 12/07/2001) Members of Workshop, "Prospects for Succession and the Orderly Evolution of Political Power in Cuba", (Workshop Minutes, 01/25/2001) William J. Lahmeman, "Conference on the Evolution of the Nation-State through 2015", (Summary of Proceedings, 04/18/2000) |