Rumors are swirling that the Trump administration is willing to offer Ukraine “Article 5–like” security guarantees in its effort to end the almost four-year Russia–Ukraine war. The exact terms of the offer remain uncertain. In broad form, however, the guarantee appears to involve an American commitment to support a European-led “multinational force”; to lead monitoring and verification efforts that will enforce any peace deal and provide Kiev warning of an impending Russian attack; to help arm Ukraine in peacetime; and, most importantly, via a legally binding pledge “subject to national procedures, to take measures to restore peace and security” if war again erupts.
School Authors: Joshua Shifrinson
Other Authors: Emma Ashford, Britta Crandall, H. A. Hellyer, Oriana Skylar Mastro